Danielle Smith weighs potential conditions on equalization payments to Quebec

Québec's power exports, despite narrowing provincial divides, are excluded from equalization calculations. Meanwhile, a 2022 ban on new fossil fuel development exacerbated western grievances.

 

source: X / ABDanielleSmith

Alberta Premier Danielle Smith discussed equalization reform at Tuesday’s Red Deer town hall, kicking off the “Alberta Next” tour.

“Québec has billions of dollars under their feet in undeveloped resources. Why are we giving them anything?” one participant asked. Smith replied: “Every single time I meet the Quebec premier, I remind him he has about a 200-year supply of natural gas under their feet.”

Québec's power exports, despite narrowing provincial divides, are excluded from fiscal gap calculations. Meanwhile, a 2022 ban on new fossil fuel development exacerbated western grievances.

During the Council of the Federation meetings in Halifax last summer, Premier François Legault justified the program to ensure "have-not" provinces receive equivalent services. He earlier vowed to wean off payments by creating wealth. 

Legault reneged on his promise, stating, "It is a complex formula to apply... There are 34 criteria that are used."

On May 5, Premier Smith announced the "Alberta Next" panel to consult residents on next steps if Ottawa doesn’t reset its relationship with her province. Smith stated, "The federal government must provide to Alberta the same per capita federal transfers and equalization as is received by … Québec.”

Smith contends that larger economies should not be beneficiaries of the program, taking aim at Québec and Ontario. "That was never the intent of equalization," she clarified, "and it needs to end."

In FY 2025/26, the equalization program will distribute a record $26.2 billion to "have-not" provinces. Québec ($13.6 billion), Atlantic Canada ($7.3 billion), Manitoba ($4.7 billion), and Ontario ($546 million) are the primary recipients.

Ontario qualified for equalization payments after the 2008 financial crisis, when former finance minister Jason Kenney stated these payments would grow annually at the national economic growth rate.

Federal equalization payments also depend on provincial revenue-raising ability.

Québec possesses an estimated 22 trillion cubic feet of marketable natural gas, reported EnergyNow Media. It also plans to phase out natural gas in residential, commercial, and institutional settings by 2040.

Last summer, Premier Smith proposed redistributing excess GDP to all provinces per capita, criticizing overcompensation for provinces that "under-report certain sources of revenue."

“‘Yeah, you can keep it in the ground, but then we’re going to assign a value as you developed it, and then we will deduct what you are owed,’” she added on Tuesday.

Economics professor Trevor Tombe, a panellist, acknowledged equalization transfer concerns but states the scale of redistribution can deceive; Maritime provinces (excluding Newfoundland and Labrador) will get higher per-capita equalization than Quebec.

Smith adds the same approach could be applied to hydroelectricity. “They sell it to their people at a subsidy,” she told participants in Red Deer. “If you choose to subsidize, that’s on you, but you can’t get that from the rest of the country.” 

The Alberta government recently warned of consequences if Prime Minister Mark Carney didn't reset Ottawa's relationship with Alberta.

An omnibus parliamentary motion in 2023 quietly amended the equalization formula until 2029, drawing criticism from Western premiers over no consultations.

Smith forewarned a citizen-led referendum petition on equalization will be added to the 2026 provincial ballot if it gathers sufficient signatures, respecting the democratic process.

Premiers Smith and Scott Moe supported legal action against the program, which excludes their provinces. 61.7% of Albertans want to remove equalization from the constitution, costing them $67 billion since 1957.

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Alex Dhaliwal

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Alex Dhaliwal is a Political Science graduate from the University of Calgary. He has actively written on relevant Canadian issues with several prominent interviews under his belt.

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COMMENTS

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  • Fran G
    commented 2025-08-03 17:30:47 -0400
    This is the only time I would back sterilization, for trudumbs
  • Robert Pariseau
    commented 2025-07-18 09:31:41 -0400
    Trudeau the elder began the game; Trudeau the younger facilitated the game; expect there to be a Trudeau the third to finish it.
  • Bruce Atchison
    commented 2025-07-17 22:49:40 -0400
    Canada is hopeless. We can never get a break because of the Upper and Lower Canada mentality of Ottawa. Quebec is their darling but they despise us westerners and our work ethic. After 120 years, it’s clear that Ottawa won’t change. We would be so much better off as a sovereign country.
  • Robert Pariseau
    commented 2025-07-17 20:26:06 -0400
    “Screw the West, we’ll take The Rest.” And your equalization payments, too.
  • Bernhard Jatzeck
    commented 2025-07-17 20:05:45 -0400
    It isn’t “equalization payments”. It’s extortion, begun by PET to punish western Canada for having the audacity to reject the Liberal party, starting with the 1972 election.